My belief is that the Order will gradually weaken under constant assault from many fronts. The BHG will get close to capturing minor, but in all these, the nomads are forgotten and they do a massive fleet buildup and over run both MINOR AND DELTA. If BHG captures Toledo and order flees before that happens, the BHG core is destroyed or significantly weakened.
If Toledo by any chance is not captured when the nomad tide comes, BHG Core and Order may enter into a temporary truce (after all, seeing lotsa purple BS puts sense into people;))
The Order and remnants of the core fleet will dash for Omicron-100 and into an unknown system beyond which ironically has connections with the rest of sirius.