Well, as the boys in the Bowex chat can attest, I was very close. Bretonia gets rammed.
QCP - gone
Bowex - gone
BMM - gone
BAF - reduced to two real systems
Rule Bretonia. They're going to be reduced to Cambridge, New London, and (with luck) Sprague. Dublin's going to fall with Gallia pouring through Edinburgh and Leeds jumpholes. Mollies will have to fall back to Lisburn, and possibly Sprague becomes a BAF/Molly planet?
BAF/Mollies sign a formal accord, and begin their fight back? Liberty jumps into the fight with Rheinland lapping at their heels (unlikely).
Were the "relevant" factions consulted about this, or were they told this is what will be. Gallia being the steamroller like this is a little hard to believe, even for this game.
Reading the story, it seems that Sirius is going to jump a couple years in time, or we're now privy to the versioning document for several iterations to come.