' Wrote:Personally, I don't think Gallia will take New London unless a large subversive movement appears in Bretonia, advocating surrender to the king. This is not because Gallia is unable to militarily destroy whatever defenses Bretonia alone can muster around New London, but because of the type of war that Gallia would be forced to wage if their sole goal was to remove the Bretonian government from New London. Bretonia has already shown its incredible ability to fortify planetary space, both during the siege of Leeds and the laying of the minefield around Harris. By forcing Gallia to use the invasion on New London as the main determinant in deciding where to station their reserve forces, Bretonia gains the advantage of forcing Gallia into a single path of war, and not allowing them to exercise the incredible maneuverability that their advanced technology allows them. This means that Bretonia can afford to draw resources away from other parts of its territory and fortify their position around New London. This gives the BAF three distinct advantages that they wouldn't have otherwise;
Firstly, they would have the home ground advantage, which one should not underestimate. They are fighting in the system that their civilization has grown up in for almost 800 years, while Gallia is forces to rely on inaccurate intelligence supplied to them by the Junkers over the past, and forced to conduct rapid surveys of their own while in hostile territory if they want to get a feel for the lay of the land. While on home turf, Bretonia doesn't risk a debacle similar to the Tau war, in which they were quickly overrun by the Kusari because they attempted to fight a traditional style of war against a technologically superior enemy in a hostile foreign environment.
Secondly, a fortified defense fits in much more closely with the Bretonian style of combat than the move/countermove game they were playing with the Kusari in the Taus. From my perspective, judging by the style and stats of Bretonian ships, and bits of vanilla lore here and there, Bretonia is much better off defending a singular planetary body than they are at defending an open space instillation. Bretonian ships are slow and well armored, and more suited to bait-and-lure maneuvers than to head on assaults. Bretonia has also shown its incredible ability to defend a fortified planet during the Tau War, in which Harris was able to beat off enough of the Kusari forces to convince the KNF that taking the planet was not worth the cost. Also, by bringing the warfront to the center of its industrial heart, Bretonia will be able to almost instantaneously reinforce its forces, displaying the true might of Bretonias legendary industrial productivity.
Thirdly, and perhaps most importantly, a situation in which New London came under direct attack would be one of the largest morale boosts the country could receive. Recruitment would skyrocket, expatriates would swarm in from all over Sirius, and soldiers would be more motivated to fight and die for the planet that embodies their whole nation. Whats more, a siege of New London would be the first time in the history of Sirius in which a fully populated house capital came under attack. The situation on Leeds which lead to the refugee exodus was met with somewhat impartial gestures by both Rheinland and Liberty, mostly due to the fact that the evacuation of Leeds was such a drawn out process and most people didnt believe that Kusari would actually attempt to invade the planet. However, if Gallia attempted to attack New London, the eyes of Sirius would be watching as, for the first time, a civilized planet with a huge civilian population came under direct threat of annihilation. The outpouring of sympathy for Bretonia from all over Sirius would be potentially huge, and it could potentially draw allies into the conflict on the side of Bretonia that would otherwise consider the war none of their business.
In the end, these advantages would most likely not be enough to defeat and turn back a full-on Gallic advance on New London. They would, however, raise the stakes of the conflict significantly, turning it into a Total Destruction Scenario. Essentially, with the Bretonian forces bolstered, the only way that Gallia would gain control of New London would be if they pried the smoldering, lifeless husk of a planet from the cold dead hands of the Queen. This would be counter-intuitive to Gallias goal, which is to keep as much of Bretonias infrastructure and natural resources in-tact, so they can arrange for their extraction and export back to Gallia to feed their incredibly expensive war machine. There is the possibility that if Gallia wanted to capture New London in-tact, they could choose to surround the planet and attack the New London system from multiple fronts, thereby preying on Bretonias weakness of not being able to quickly reorganize their defense structure. However, this would force them to split their spearhead forces into multiple groups, and spread their reserve forces desperately thin over the occupied territory of Leeds. Also, if Gallia really wanted to effectively isolate New London, they would have to locate their forces in the system of Dublin, and possibly even as far west as central Manchester, bringing the Mollys into the war in full force against Gallia, and giving Liberty the opportunity to bring themselves into the conflict, moving in to Manchester to launch a preemptive strike against Gallia in preparation for the Royals stated plans to one day invade Liberty. This situation would bog down the Gallic navy considerably, removing their main advantage of being able to launch massive frontal assaults with a high level of maneuverability within their force structure. When they are no longer able to quickly steamroll a territory, as they did so in the Taus, the Gallics will be force to fight a type of war that they are not at all used to, and potentially open themselves up to Bretonias infamous interdiction efforts.
Despite the points I have outlined, I doubt that Bretonia will be able to drive back the Gallic advance before it reaches New London, unless all of Sirius decides to unite behind the Bretonian cause. More likely, I believe that Gallia will attempt to isolate Bretonia politically from both Kusari and Rheinland, as well as bypass New London entirely, and instead steamroll through Dublin, possibly destroying the Mollys in the process (personally, I think the buggers will survive and go on to be a pain in King Charles arse for quite some time to come,) thus opening up Dublin to economic exploitation, as well as achieving the goal of creating a point of meeting between the Royals and the Corsairs. By securing a link between Gallic and Corsair forces, Gallia is not only able to potentially ally their forces with the Corsairs, gaining a powerful ally in their war against Bretonia, but also make progress towards their goal of reaching Omicron Gamma and launching their planned expedition to Old Sol. From that point, the Gallic forces are in a much favorable position to surround New London without meddlesome foreign interference, and pave the way to a potential invasion of Liberty.
But then again, who knows? In Sirius, anything can happen. We fly giant spaceships in a war against purple space octopi, for Christ sakes. Who knows what the future holds
Good and quite logical storyline.
But at the last part i dont think that royal navy will ally with corsiar( despite i like the idea )and if it happens then i think corsirs will invade chembridge and the chembridge research stations.
However i think you missed the part of council. Gallia has kept enemies back of thier home. So this time a council invasion can take lorraine. I dont think gallia will reach new london but leeds system will be under gallic force except planet leeds and the route to new london and new castle while battleship nagasaki is placed in front of leeds along with a brtornia bs.
While bretonia is heavily engaged with gallia, the corsair with a big invasion force attacks planet chembrige and the research station from omega 5(dont think it will happen).
@Fletcher :
Kusari and bretornia as puppet state!!!!
Dont like the idea at all. Kusari declared a cease fire but they are not a puppet state neither will bretornia.
' Wrote:By forcing Gallia to use the invasion on New London as the main determinant in deciding where to station their reserve forces, Bretonia gains the advantage of forcing Gallia into a single path of war, and not allowing them to exercise the incredible maneuverability that their advanced technology allows them.
Just a note. This is NOT what you do when your enemy has a huge numerical advantage in heavy artillery, at same time having strongest (in terms of technical characteristics) "artillery" in whole Sirius. (Valors)
I can still see the realistic ability that gallia overextends itself in kusari and Bretonia.
Unless of course theres dramatic artistic liscence put to work fortifying its position in kusari would have to be a priority for several years to build infrastructure and backing doing the 7 10 split in both houses would be vary unrealistic.